Destination 270

SMU Students Analyze the 2012 Presidential Election

Pew Poll: 3 key takeaways

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According to the National Pew Poll released three days ago, Governor Romney has higher favorability amongst likely voters than President Obama. Pew ran this poll in mid September showing Obama with an 8 point lead. Now, twenty-nine days before the election, Romney leads by 4.


Here are three key takeaways from this poll:

  1. Americans still like the person, not the leadership. According to National Gallop poll, approval rating has been averaging around 52%, over 18% lower than Obama’s all time high. However, when it comes to the question of if the Nation is headed in the right direction, the majority feel as if it is not. After the debate last Wednesday, it appears as if the liking the President as a person is taking a backseat to liking the performance of the President.
  2.  Debates highlight issues, conventions highlight themes. Wednesday’s first Presidential debate also made a drastic impact on the independent voters, the real majority:

 But the Pew poll suggests two thirds of all registered voters in their sample said Romney won the debate while just 20 percent said Obama had; those numbers were even more striking among independents — 72 percent of whom said Romney won.  Among independents who watched the debate, 78 percent said Romney won.

3. In a previous post, I looked at a Washington Post Poll which showed that Democratic voters were voting for Obama at a higher      rate than they were voting against Romney. Likewise, the poll showed that Republican voters were voting against Obama at a higher rate than they were voting for Romney. After this last debate, and after the release of this Pew poll, it would appear as if the GOP enthusiasm for their candidate has finally become a force worth recognizing and could result in an influx of voter turnout.



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