Before the first presidential debate, Obama held an 11-point lead over Romney. But in recent polls, the Badger state could lean either way. According to the Marquette Law School Poll Director Charles Franklin, it isn’t normal for debates to have this large of an impact on the movement of polls.
This debate bounce for Romney has continued to hold him as a contender for the state. PPP’s most recent poll has Obama only leading by 2 points, 49-47. RealClearPolitics‘ poll also has Obama only leading by 2 points. Many have declared this state as a toss-up, but 538Blog continues to show the state as likely blue.
The value of this swing state is important. 10 electoral votes could make or break either candidate. $21 million, combined for both parties, has been spent in Wisconsin on advertising alone (I know everyone is surprised- they were over 80% negative).