Destination 270

SMU Students Analyze the 2012 Presidential Election

Bad News for Democrats

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In the U.S Senate Race, the poll spells bad news for Democrats, who are hopping to hold on to their 51 to 47 advantage over Republicans in the 100-seat chamber. Democrat incumbent Robert Casey Jr. has been favored to win in Pennsylvania.

Casey, is an Anti-abortion, Pro-gun moderate Democrat whose father was a popular Pennsylvania governor, won the Senate seat six years ago by defeating Republican Rick Santorum by 18% points. Santorum went to be one of Romney’s principal rivals for the Republican presidential nomination.

Tom Smith on the other hand was virtually unknown in the state in April when he won the Republican Senate Primary. On August 1st, a Quinnipiac Survey showed Casey beating smith 55 percent to 37 percent…

Smith, a former coal minder who went on to own a coal company, has poured over 10 million of his own money into his campaign and especially television ads.

According to the poll released on tuesday… Casey’s lead has narrowed to just 3 percentage points…

How will this election pan out? Will Smith take the Senator position, or will the Democratic Casey continue to hold office?

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