Destination 270

SMU Students Analyze the 2012 Presidential Election

What Happened? : A Swing State Loses Its Impact

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Well there it is folks- President Obama was re-elected with 303 electoral votes! Though his win was predicted by some political analyists, his path to re-election did not go as expected . Surprisingly, two of the most talked about battleground states- Colorado and Florida- had little impact on the outcome of the election.

Around 11pm, roughly 45 minutes after the election had been called for Obama, Colorado, which was categorized as a toss-up, was called in the President’s favor.

The 2012 Electoral College Map. As of publication Florida had not been called.

Monday I predicted that Obama would win Colorado. Though my prediction was correct, the President’s win was not a repeat of 2008’s clean sweep when he won with 53.7%. Last night the margins were much closer, with a mere 4% separating the two candidates.

The swiftness in which the election was called was a surprise for some who expected there to be more of a “battle” for the White House. But once results from Iowa came in followed by Obama’s Ohio win, Colorado and Florida didn’t matter because the 270 electorate votes had already been collected by the President.

The swiftness of the election left some blinking and wondering what had just happened.

Though not a landslide victory, last night’s powerful will was a testament to Obama’s campaign strategy of playing defense and holding the states he won in 2008. Though some states were lost this election, specifically North Carolina and Indiana, their departure did not have a negative impact on the President’s chances of re-election.

Now that the big race is over, as data is released, stay tuned for more updates on Colorado voting patterns and legislative changes in the state (aka Amendment 64) Stay Tuned!


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