Destination 270

SMU Students Analyze the 2012 Presidential Election

Rasmussen responds to the polling debacle

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“We were disappointed that our final results were not as close to the final result as they had been in preceding elections,” says Rasmussen Reports.

Their reasons for this include:

  1. An underestimation of the minority share of the electorate
  2. The generation gap: more young people, less seniors

This year, Obama held an extremely strong presence with the minority vote, with 28% of his voters being non-white.  Romney was known for holding the old white male vote, which, clearly, was not enough this time.  While many people felt that Obama would lose some of the young vote in this election, their numbers were comparable to those of 2008.

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