Destination 270

SMU Students Analyze the 2012 Presidential Election

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Hillary v. Jeb 2016

Now that we are a week out from the 2012 election, it only makes sense to start creating those short-lists of who will make the best candidate in 2016.  There are several names already floating around out there, but there are two potential candidates who have already gotten a considerable amount of attention.

Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Jeb Bush.  While both of them certainly have their shortcomings and potential demons to be confronted, they each bring a lot to the table for their respective party. Continue reading

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Patrick Murphy Claims Victory, Despite Lingering Recount Drama

Although Florida’s 18th Congressional District has yet to be officially called in favor of Democrat Patrick Murphy, he sure is “taking it like a champion.”  Shortly after the initial recount in St. Lucie County boosted him ahead of Allen West, Murphy took the stage at his victory party in West Palm Beach to accept what he believed his hard-fought win.

While Murphy’s acceptance speech was indeed thoughtful and gracious towards his supporters, there was no forgoing the patronizing attitude that both candidates held towards each other throughout the entire campaign.

“Allen West was quite a character to run against, and I’ll keep it at that.  And hopefully that’s the last time I ever need to mention his name, too,” Murphy said of his opponent.  He left it short and sweet, yet it the midst of a potential recount, there was certainly no ‘forgiving and forgetting’.   Instead, Murphy has maintained his portrayal of West as an extremist caricature.  According to Politico, Murphy claimed his win to be “a signal that voters were tired of the extremism West represented.”

Over the weekend, Patrick Murphy scoffed at West’s allegations of election fraud in St. Lucie County, claiming that he was ready to just move on.

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Allen West Demands A Recount

It wouldn’t be like the state of Florida to not have some sort of recount battle ensue after Election Day.  We thought it might have come in the form of a statewide presidential recount; however, it is no less surprising that it is coming out of Florida’s 18th congressional district.

That’s right, what was potentially one of the years nastiest congressional races has still not been finally declared, as Republican incumbent, Allen West is demanding a recall after loosing by less than 2,500 votes. Continue reading

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Spanish Romney Ad Pinned Obama to Fidel Castro and Hugo Chavez—Did it pay off?

Just days before the election, the Romney campaign released a Spanish-language ad in the Miami area in an attempt to detract Hispanic voter’s away from voting for President Obama.  The ad shows clips of Venezuelan dictator Hugo Chavez, and the niece of Cuban dictator Fidel Castro endorsing Obama.

“Who supports Barack Obama?” the narrator asks in Spanish before the clips of the two endorsements run.

“And to top it off, Obama’s Environmental Protection Agency sent emails for Hispanic Heritage month with Che Guevara’s photo,” the narrator continues in reference to an internal email at the EPA. Continue reading

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Cuban-American Voters in Florida Shift Left

What once was a Republican stronghold in the Sunshine State looks to have entered the final phases of a potentially devastating realignment for the party.  The Cuban-American vote has long been a solid support system for Republicans in Florida due to the party’s outspoken stance against the Castro regime.  They have also been an extremely important demographic to the Republican Party, as they have made up the plurality of Hispanic voters in the state, especially in Miami.

However, this year may have brought about a troubling reality for the party, as they nearly lost the Cuban-American vote to President Obama.  According to the polling firm, Bendixen-Armandi, which conducts Hispanic polling for President Obama, the president won 48 percent of the Cuban-American vote in Florida, compared to Romney’s 52 percent.  This is a record high for any Democratic candidate. Continue reading

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Massachusetts Representative Keeps His Head Above Water in Scandal, Tough Re-Election

The people of Massachusetts’ 6th District have seen their fair share of scandal over the last few years as their representative to the U.S. House, John Tierney (D) has been caught up in a bitter family gambling scandal since shortly after his re-election in 2010.  Although Tierney has fervently claimed his innocence throughout his entire term, this year’s bid for re-election in to his 9th term was a real nail biter for the candidate and his supporters. (See past post: Challenger Capitalizes on Incumbent’s Family Scandal in Mass 6th District)

Tierney, who has held office for eight consecutive terms, is one of the most liberal members of Congress and hails from one of the most liberal (and affluent) areas in Massachusetts.  He has had no problem in the past securing his re-election with large margins of victory and has proven to be extremely well respected within his district.

This year, however, Tierney’s already vulnerable seat due to the ongoing family scandal was made even more vulnerable by his strong opponent.  Richard Tisei was a young, fiscally conservative, socially libertarian Republican.  He also would have been the first openly gay Republican member in the House of Representatives.  Continue reading

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This Seasons “Five Best Political Ads” Nationwide

After each election Kantar Media CMG peruses back through the years campaign ads in order to produce a list of the ads which most efficiently broke through the dull monotony of traditional political ads.  This year, out of over 6,000 different ads aired nationwide, Kantar Media selected what they believed to be the five most creative and attention grabbing .

Kantar Vice President Elizabeth Wilner was noted in an article by the LA Times as saying, “These ads stand out because they’re unusually creative, personal, or authentic.”  LA Times writer, James Rainey, concluded however, “that doesn’t mean they are particularly uplifting or nice.  Just memorable.”

Without any further ado, here are the ads chosen by Wilner and Kantar Media. Continue reading